25 Dec 4 Players To Help Build Your Best NBA DraftKings Lineup (12/25/19)
Happy Holidays, everyone!
Today, we have a special Christmas five-game slate.
Below are four players to help build your best NBA DraftKings lineup.
As always, if you need any further lineup advice, don’t hesitate to reach out to me on Twitter.
Top NBA DFS Play
Anthony Davis (PF/C, $10,100)
The most-anticipated matchup of this year’s Christmas day slate is the Los Angeles Lakers hosting the Los Angeles Clippers. This LA showdown between the two best clubs in the Western Conference has the smallest spread of this slate (LAC -2) and the second-highest total (221.5 points).
Davis has been extremely effective as of late, scoring 59.6 DraftKings fantasy points per game across his last seven contests. The Clippers are one of the better defenses in the league (sixth in defensive efficiency), but they are most susceptible inside where AD does his best work.
He is also on his home floor today. Over the last four seasons, Davis is contributing 3.1 more DraftKings fantasy points per game when playing behind a home crowd.
The star big man supposedly tweaked his knee in his last game but was ultimately able to return. He is fully expected to be available for Christmas day, but DraftKings put a questionable tag next Davis’ name, which could scare off some of the causal fantasy players that will be competing. Nonetheless, Davis is underpriced and has a ceiling north of 60 DraftKings fantasy points in the battle for Los Angeles.
Value NBA DFS Plays
Alec Burks (PG/SG, $5,600)
Alec Burks’s price tag has yet to adjust to his recent production level. In his last eight games, the combo-guard is scoring 31.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game. He provided over 30 DraftKings fantasy points in seven of those eight games and 40+ DraftKings fantasy points in three. Burks averaged 26.4 minutes per game over this same time span and should continue to play right around 30 minutes against the Houston Rockets on Christmas day.
This contest presents the highest total of today’s five-game slate at 226.5 total points. Houston’s defense surrenders the third-most DraftKings fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. In his first meeting with them, Burks produced 47 DraftKings fantasy points. He should cost over $6,000 right now and is one of the best values to attack today.
Russell Westbrook (PG, $8,900)
After a very rocky start to the season, Russell Westbrook found his groove over the last week. He is producing 54.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game in his last 4 starts, which is a huge difference from the 44.2 DraftKings fantasy points he was averaging over his first 23 contests of the season.
One of the main reasons is his increased playing time. In his last four games, Westbrook is seeing 38.2 minutes per game. In his prior 23, the former MVP was only logging 34.5 minutes per game. Also, Westbrook’s usage is trending up. During that same time span, he is posting a 37.3% usage rate. In his first 23 games of the year, Westbrook was garnering an average usage rate of 31.3%.
The Rockets are favored by 11 points over the Golden State Warriors on Christmas day, but they will be on the road in the Oracle, where the Warriors have won back-to-back games. Golden State has been playing much better recently, and they should be able to keep this game competitive enough that Westbrook sees his full complement of minutes.
Out of the ten teams competing today, Houston is expected to score the most points (118.75), and Golden State has given up the fourth-most DraftKings points per game to opposing point guards this season. Westbrook was just priced up to $9,600 this past Monday night, so at $8,900, he is just too good of a holiday bargain to ignore.
Paul Millsap (PF/C, $4,700)
Paul Millsap is never the most exciting play, but he is too cheap for this matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. Since returning to the lineup four games ago, the power forward is averaging 26.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game, which would be a 5.6 times value return at his salary for on Christmas day.
The Pelicans rank 24th in defensive efficiency and fifth in pace. Denver is a much slower team, ranking 27th in speed this season, so this is a huge pace increase for Millsap and company. New Orleans has been very weak at defending power forwards this season, giving up the sixth-most DraftKings fantasy points to the position.
Denver will be at home for the holiday. Millsap is scoring a notable six more DraftKings fantasy points per game on his home floor and generating 27.8 DraftKings fantasy points per game when at home and playing up in pace this season. He has a much better ceiling than his price tag suggests, and Millsap shouldn’t be a name that carries much ownership in GPPs.
- Known as Hunta512 across the DFS industry, Alex is an experienced and successful fantasy player from Boston, specializing in NBA, NFL and PGA. He’s been writing for the last four years and provides NBA DFS fantasy picks on a daily basis right here at Expand The Boxscore.com
- Al is the co-host of The Pick and Roll NBA podcast on ExpandTheBoxScore.com, as well as the Flex or Fade Fantasy Football live stream every Sunday at 12pm noon via our twitter feed