31 Dec 4 Players To Help Build Your Best NBA DraftKings Lineup (12/31/19)
Welcome back, everyone. Happy New Year’s Eve!
Tonight, we have a four-game slate.
Below are four players to help build your best NBA DraftKings lineup.
As always, if you need any further lineup advice, don’t hesitate to reach out to me on Twitter.
Top NBA DFS Play
James Harden (PG/SG, $10,500)
James Harden missed his first game of the season on Sunday night with a sprained toe, but he will return tonight to face off against the Denver Nuggets in Houston. The former MVP saw his price drop $700 since he last suited up, making tonight the cheapest Harden has been in 28 games. He is scoring 67.1 DraftKings fantasy points per game in his last 10 starts, which would be 6.4 times value at his current salary.
This matchup against Denver is a difficult one with the Nuggets ranking fifth in defensive efficiency, but it’s hard to overlook Harden at this price point. The Rockets still carry a solid implied team total of 111.5 points, and over the last two seasons, Harden is contributing 3.92 more DraftKings fantasy points per game at home. He is a very strong value.
Value NBA DFS Plays
Jerami Grant (PF/C, $4,600)
Grant started for the injured Paul Millsap (quad) on Sunday and will draw another start this evening with the power forward already ruled out (see update). Sunday night against the Sacramento Kings, Grant logged 33 minutes and recorded 26.5 DraftKings fantasy points in the spot start. He has now played more than 30 minutes in back-to-back games. This is a very encouraging sign, and in the 11 games that Grant has played over 25 minutes this year, he is averaging 23.75 DraftKings fantasy points.
His opponent tonight, the Houston Rockets, have been very susceptible to power forwards, allowing the fifth-most DraftKings fantasy points per game that position. Furthermore, this Western Conference matchup presents the highest total of tonight’s four-game slate at 220.5. At only $4,600, Grant is the best value to target from this contest.
UPDATE: Millsap has been upgraded to questionable for tonight. If he suits up, Grant would move back to the bench and become a bad value at his salary. Millsap, on the other hand, would become an appealing target in this great matchup, assuming he wasn’t limited. Luckily, this is one of the first games of the night to tip-off, so fantasy owners should know the specifics of the situation before the start of the slate. Another note is that Gary Harris was probable, but is now questionable with a shin injury. The shooting guard missed the last game for the Nuggets, and Michael Porter Jr. received the start, generating a career-high 28.5 DraftKings fantasy points across 26.1 minutes against the Kings. If Harris is ruled out, and MPJ gets another start, he would have to be considered in all formats at only $4,500.
Marquese Chriss (PF/C, $4,100)
It’s another night of NBA basketball where the Golden State Warriors are depleted. For New Year’s Eve, Golden State is without Steph Curry (hand), D’Angelo Russell (illness), Klay Thompson (knee), Kevon Looney (abdomen), and Willie Cauley-Stein (illness).
Not having WCS and Looney opens the door for Marquese Chriss. He should draw the start at center tonight against the San Antonio Spurs and see at least 20 minutes of court time.
Chriss is producing an effective 1.11 DraftKings fantasy points per minute this season, and in the 11 games he surpassed 20 minutes in 2019, the big man is producing 28.3 DraftKings fantasy points per contest. San Antonio is an average spot for centers, but they still rank 22nd in defensive efficiency. With only four games on tap tonight, Chriss is an obvious value.
Draymond Green (PG/SF, $6,100)
In the last few games without D’Angelo Russell, Green started at point guard for the Golden State Warriors. It is unclear if this is the Warriors’ plan for tonight, but either way, fantasy owners know Green will be in the starting lineup against the San Antonio Spurs.
About a month ago, it seemed like Green wasn’t going to be fantasy relevant anymore this season, but in his past few contests, the former defensive player of the year has looked more like his old-self. In his last five starts, Green is producing 33.35 DraftKings fantasy points per game, including three performances with over 30 DraftKings fantasy points.
He logged 31.3 minutes per contest during this stretch, which is a solid bump from the 28.7 minutes per game Green saw in his first 19 contests of the season. As noted above, the Spurs are 22nd in defensive efficiency, and when Looney, Curry, Russell, and WCS have been off the floor this season, Green saw increases to both his assist and rebound rates. Barring a massive blowout, Green should top 30 DraftKings fantasy points on New Year’s Eve.
- Known as Hunta512 across the DFS industry, Alex is an experienced and successful fantasy player from Boston, specializing in NBA, NFL and PGA. He’s been writing for the last four years and provides NBA DFS fantasy picks on a daily basis right here at Expand The Boxscore.com
- Al is the co-host of The Pick and Roll NBA podcast on ExpandTheBoxScore.com, as well as the Flex or Fade Fantasy Football live stream every Sunday at 12pm noon via our twitter feed