04 Dec 4 Players To Help Build Your Best NBA DraftKings Lineup (12/4/19)
Welcome back, everybody.
Tonight, we have a ten-game slate.
Below are four players to help build your best NBA DraftKings lineup.
As always, if you need any further lineup advice, don’t hesitate to reach out to me on Twitter.
Top NBA DFS Play
Luka Doncic: (PG/SF, $11,600)
Luka Doncic is a tough player to avoid whenever he is in action, especially tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves. So far this season, Minnesota is the fastest team in basketball, giving up the fourth-most DraftKings fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. Doncic has been spectacular this season, averaging 62.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game.
Tonight, he is home. In his career, the reigning rookie of the year is scoring 4.4 more DraftKings fantasy points per game in Dallas.
The Mavericks currently present the highest implied team total of the 20 squads competing tonight at 117.25 total points. In the two previous homes games this season in which Dallas was projected for 115 points or more, Doncic scored 68.6 DraftKings fantasy points per game.
Even as the highest-priced player of the slate, he is one of the best values on the board.
Value NBA DFS Plays
Donovan Mitchell: (PG/SG, $7,100)
With Mike Conley out tonight with a hamstring injury, Donovan Mitchell becomes the primary ball-handler and play-maker for the Utah Jazz. Conley has yet to miss a game this season, but when starting point guard Ricky Rubio was off the floor last year, Mitchell took over the offense. In all the minutes he logged without Rubio a year ago, Mitchell posted a team-high 35.1% usage rate and 28.8% assist percentage, helping him to 1.24 DraftKings fantasy points per minute, which is a notable difference from the 1.11 DraftKings fantasy points per minute he averaged for the season.
His matchup tonight is ugly, squaring off against the Los Angeles Lakers and their second-highest ranked defense, but Mitchell is at home. Over his three-year career, he is producing 3.03 more DraftKings fantasy points per game in Utah.
At a season-low price point, Mitchell is a strong value to attack in all formats.
Jimmy Butler: (SG/SF, $7,300)
Last night, Jimmy Butler had his best showing in a Miami Heat uniform in their overtime win over the Toronto Raptors. In 41 minutes, he recorded his first triple-double of the season with a season-best 62.25 DraftKings fantasy points. This was against a Toronto Raptors’ defense that ranks third in defensive efficiency this season.
Point guard Goran Dragic was absent from the Heat’s lineup due to a groin injury, and he remains out tonight. After Tuesday night, Butler is now contributing 50.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game in the two games Dragic missed this year. In those games, he led the team with a 41.7% assist rate, which is a 11.6% increase from his average for the season.
Tonight, Butler and the Heat head to Boston to take on the Celtics. This is another tough matchup, as Boston ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, but they will be without their best wing defender Marcus Smart. This improves the matchup for Butler, and he should easily exceed five times value at his current price tag.
Evan Fournier: (SG/SF, $6,500)
Once again, Evan Fournier was excellent last night with Nikola Vucevic out with an ankle injury. In 35 minutes, he scored 40.5 DraftKings fantasy points in a win over the Washington Wizards. He is now averaging 36.4 DraftKings fantasy points per game in his last six contests without Vucevic, including five showings of over 35 DraftKings fantasy points. Fournier led the Magic in usage rate in those contests at 27.8%, which is a 5.3% bump from his standard rate.
Tonight, his matchup is solid against the Phoenix Suns, who rank 18th in defensive efficiency. Fournier and the Orlando Magic are at home, where he is averaging 4.0 more DraftKings fantasy points per game this season. His price rose to a level that might make some DFS players uncomfortable, which could result in a lower ownership for Fournier in GPPs.
- Known as Hunta512 across the DFS industry, Alex is an experienced and successful fantasy player from Boston, specializing in NBA, NFL and PGA. He’s been writing for the last four years and provides NBA DFS fantasy picks on a daily basis right here at Expand The Boxscore.com
- Al is the co-host of The Pick and Roll NBA podcast on ExpandTheBoxScore.com, as well as the Flex or Fade Fantasy Football live stream every Sunday at 12pm noon via our twitter feed