17 Oct Daily Fantasy College Football Picks – Week 8
Daily Fantasy College Football Picks – Week 8
Welcome to the Week 8 edition of Matt Gajewski’s “Daily Fantasy College Football Picks.”
As has generally been the case in 2019, QB and WR stacks provided the winning formula in GPPs last Saturday. Between Jalen Hurts to CeeDee Lamb and Jayden Daniels to Brandon Aiyuk, most first-place lineups eclipsed 250 total fantasy points.
Keeping these statistics in mind, Week 8 presents a tightly priced slate. DraftKings’ largest DFS CFB tournament of all time is this weekend, as many of the NCAA’s top offenses play this Saturday. Between Oklahoma, LSU, and Clemson, fantasy owners are faced with numerous difficult decisions. Below are a few standout plays to help ease that decision-making process.
Garrett Shrader ($5,900)
QB – Mississippi State
Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow remain the top two plays on this weekend’s slate, but jamming both into the same lineup severely restricts salary space for the remaining roster slots. Instead, pivot one QB position to a cheaper dual-threat quarterback to provide a more balanced roster construction.
With Mississippi State moving on from Tommy Stevens, Garrett Shrader provides a lot of value as a dual-threat QB at $5,900. Shrader racked up 89 rushing yards against Auburn and 62 against Tennessee. He did not play a full game in either contest, leaving an untapped ceiling in DFS contests. While Shrader draws a tough matchup against LSU, his rushing ability makes him a solid super-flex play alongside Burrow and Hurts.
Kam Martin ($4,600)
RB – Auburn
With Auburn losing JaTarvious Whitlow to injury, Kam Martin is the next man up in the Tiger’s backfield. So far this season, Martin ranks second among Auburn RBs with 34 carries.
Auburn, as a team, ranks 19th in the country with 230.5 rushing yards per game, behind an offensive line that returned all five starters this offseason.
They enter Week 8 as 18.5-point favorites over Arkansas. The Razorbacks currently allow 197 yards per game to opposing rushers, creating an advantageous matchup for Martin. At $4,600, Martin provides much-needed salary relief on this slate.
Larry Rountree ($6,700)
RB – Missouri
Larry Rountree continues to share a backfield with Tyler Badie, but his production tends to spike in games where Missouri plays with the lead. Heading into Week 8, Missouri is a 21-point favorite over Vanderbilt.
Vanderbilt currently allows 210.8 rushing yards per game to opposing backfields. Missouri plays at one of the fastest paces in college football with 78.2 plays per game. This elevated play volume allowed Rountree to record at least 18 carries in each of his last three games.
With the Vegas odds and plus matchup creating an advantageous situation, Rountree looks like a ‘smash play’ on this Week 8 slate.
Justin Jefferson ($7,300)
WR – LSU
With Terrace Marshall still out due to a foot injury, Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase continue to see a vast majority of LSU’s targets. In two full games without Marshall, Jefferson has 21 total targets, while Chase comes in at 16.
Jefferson finds himself $400 less than Chase. Either way, both receivers remain the focal points of an LSU offense averaging the second most passing yards per game in the country (377). Mississippi State is a tough matchup, but Jefferson and the LSU offense demand exposure each week because of their elevated target shares.
Emeka Emezie ($5,400)
WR – North Carolina State
Among the mid-priced options at wide receiver this week, Emeka Emezie stands out due to his immense target volume. Granted, his volume hasn’t translated to massive production on the field, but Emezie is third on the slate with 61 targets.
This week, Emezie and North Carolina State square off against a dismal Boston College pass defense. So far, Boston college has allowed 311.4 passing yards per game to opposing QBs.
With 20 more targets than NC State’s second leading receiver (Thayer Thomas), Emezie is a reliable option in the mid-price tier.
RJ Sneed ($4,100)
WR – Baylor
RJ Sneed stands out as one of the better value options at WR with his reliable target volume and a positive matchup against Oklahoma State. Taking over for Chris Platt, Sneed has 18 targets in his last three games.
This week, Baylor faces an Oklahoma State defense allowing 268.4 passing yards per game to opposing QBs. Most importantly, this game has the highest total on the slate (66) and should provide ample scoring opportunities for Sneed and the Baylor offense.
At $4,100, Sneed provides a cheap attachment to the highest projected scoring affair on the slate.