The Pick 6 Week 5

College Football CFB DFS Value Plays & GPP Pivots

by Matt Gajewski (@Matt_Gajewski)

Now entering Week 5, conference play has fully taken over college football. This week’s DraftKings’ Main Slate features a number of difficult challenges. Alabama, Clemson, and Oklahoma all remain at least 27-point favorites, with only Oklahoma-Texas Tech slated to eclipse 70-points. However, Texas Tech’s insistence on a quarterback platoon in the wake of Alan Bowman’s injury renders the team GPP only. With that said, a number of players find themselves in positive match-ups worth targeting on the main slate.

Jamie Newman ($7,800) – Wake Forest

Priced as the fifth-most expensive quarterback, Jamie Newman provides quite a bit of savings on this tight slate. Newman checks every box DFS grinders look for in a quarterback. He averages 33.75 attempts per game and 319.5 passing yards. Plus, he averages another 40 rushing yards on the ground, giving him an immense floor. Looking at matchup, both Wake Forest and Boston College run more than 80 plays per game, further boosting Newman’s volume. Right now, this game sits with a 70.5-point total and Boston College allows 286.3 passing yards per game. Newman warrants consideration across formats.

Travis Etienne ($7,200) – Clemson

Coming off three sub-par performances without a 100-yard game, Travis Etienne’s price has plummeted on DraftKings. However, the upside remains. In 15 games last season, Etienne failed to reach the 100-yard mark seven times. However, Etienne also rushed for over 150 yards on six occasions and recorded multiple touchdowns another eight times. North Carolina’s run defense currently allows 172.5 rushing yards per game, creating a solid matchup for Etienne. Favored by 27-points against North Carolina, the Clemson back remains a solid buy-low candidate in DFS this week. This likely remains his lowest price of the season.

Sean McGrew ($3,700) – Washington

After Salvon Ahmed missed last week’s game, head coach Chris Petersen labeled Ahmed week-to-week. This suggests Ahmed will miss Week 5, putting Sean McGrew and Richard Newton in line to see additional work. However, McGrew remains severely underpriced at $3,700. Without Ahmed last week, McGrew actually led the team with 18 carries, while recording two targets. Newton carried the ball 16 times himself, but Washington currently runs the ball 56.4-percent of the time. Favored by 10-points over USC, McGrew presents a solid salary-saving option on this slate.

Kendrick Rogers ($4,700) – Texas A&M

Dealing with injuries throughout this season, Kendrick Rogers remains underpriced ahead of Week 5. Missing most of Week 1 and parts of Week 4, Rogers ranks third on Texas A&M with 27 targets in four games. However, Rogers has averaged 8.7 targets per game in his last three contests, including the 9 targets he drew last week. Texas A&M currently passes just over 61-percent of the time, creating enough volume for three pass catchers in this offense. Arkansas also looks like an advantageous matchup, with the Razorbacks allowing 284.3 passing yards per game. With Jhamon Ausbon and Quartney Davis priced above $6k, Rogers remains too cheap at $4,700.

Jadan Blue ($5,100) – Temple

A GPP-winning player last week, Jadan Blue remains a target on the DraftKings’ Week 5 main slate with a $5,100 price tag. Temple currently runs 77 plays per game and passes the ball 59.7-percent of the time, creating opportunities for multiple receivers. Last week, Blue, Isaiah Wright, and Branden Mack all received ten or more targets in this offense. With all three seeing almost equal volume, DraftKings kept all of their prices at $5,100. However, Blue remains the big play threat, with 10.5 yards per target. Georgia Tech plays some of the worst defense in the NCAA, giving up 27 points and losing to Citadel in their last game. Wright and Mack remain considerations here too, but Blue looks like the play with the most upside in Week 5.

Trey Knox ($5,100) – Arkansas

Similarly underpriced, Arkansas continues to feed Trey Knox targets in the passing game. After receiving only three targets in Week 1, Knox averages 11.3 targets per game in Arkansas’ last three games. Arkansas remains 23-point underdogs, but this game brings a 58-point game total. While A&M plays solid defense, Knox’s target volume makes up for a weaker matchup. With multiple studs worth considering at the top, Knox brings enough value to force a few expensive players into lineups.