Week 7 – Daily Fantasy College Football Value Plays & GPP Pivots
by Matt Gajewski (@Matt_Gajewski)
While Week 6 provided a slew of massive scores in daily fantasy college football, most of those scores came from contrarian plays. Joe Burrow and Justin Jefferson led all GPP-winning lineups over the more popular Jalen Hurts and Ceedee Lamb. Looking ahead to Week 7, navigating the Red River Showdown seems to be the key to the slate. With a 76-point game total, Vegas projects this game to finish with 15 more points than any other game. With that said, here are a few players who find themselves in positive matchups. These players are worth targeting on DraftKings.
Quentin Harris ($7,800) – Duke
While Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa warrant high ownership, Quentin Harris provides a solid ‘S-FLEX’ at a fraction of the cost. Duke’s dual threat quarterback averages 68.4 rushing yards per game. On top of his immense floor as a rusher, Harris should benefit from Georgia Tech’s abysmal defense. So far this season, they’ve allowed 228.2 rushing yards per game. This could be the result of most teams not needing to pass against Georgia Tech. For example, Citadel won 27-24, all while throwing 4 total passes. That said, they allowed Sam Howell of North Carolina to throw for 376 yards in their last game. Either way, Harris provides a solid floor with top-five DFS upside.
Kylin Hill ($7,300) – Mississippi State
Even with a number of productive, high-priced runnings backs on this week’s slate, Kylin Hill stands out based on his matchup against Tennessee. The Volunteers currently allow 171.5 rushing yards per game, and Hill averages 119.2. Playing as 7-point favorites, Hill looks like a solid bet to eclipse 20 rushing attempts. With Mississippi State flip-flopping quarterbacks throughout the year, Hill remains a top daily fantasy college football play on DraftKings.
Johnnie Lang ($4,800) – Iowa State
One of the slate’s top salary-saving options, Johnnie Lang, emerged as Iowa State’s lead rusher last week. After rotating three running backs to start the year, Lang saw 16 carries and 1 target in Iowa State’s Week 6 victory. Most importantly, backup Jirehl Brock only received 4 carries, adding security to Lang’s workload. Favored by 10.5-points over West Virginia, the Mountaineers currently allow 185.5 rushing yards per game to opposing offenses. At just $4,800, Lang provides enough salary relief to reach multiple studs on this slate.
Tee Higgins ($6,300) – Clemson
Quietly playing in one of the NCAA’s top offenses, Tee Higgins enters Week 7 with a $6,300 price tag on DraftKings. Currently, Vegas is implying that Clemson will score 43 points this weekend, only a half-point behind Alabama. However, most of Clemson’s skill position players are far cheaper. Higgins currently ranks second on the team in targets (32), leading the team with 505 receiving yards. Like previous weeks, finding receivers with big-play potential in high-scoring offense provides the upside needed to win. Florida State currently allows 302.2 passing yards per game to opposing offenses, making Higgins a solid value play this week.
Jadon Haselwood ($4,900) – Oklahoma
For those looking to pivot away from CeeDee Lamb, Jadon Haselwood enters Week 7 with an affordable price tag. More volatile than most, Haselwood’s 18 targets are low for this slate. However, the upside remains undeniable with Oklahoma projected to play in a competitive game with a 76-point total. Dealing with injuries to three starters in their secondary, Texas currently allows 325 passing yards per game to opposing offenses. While target volume renders him a tournament-only play, Haselwood provides a cheap attachment to the Oklahoma offense.
David Bell ($4,700) – Purdue
After last week’s atrocious performance, the entire Purdue offense needs to bounce back against Maryland. With Rondale Moore expected to miss multiple weeks, David Bell stepped up as the team’s leading receiver. Averaging 8.7 targets per game in his last three contests, Bell provides secure volume at a cheap price tag. Facing Maryland this week, Bell should benefit from a matchup against a Terrapins’ defense that allows 297.8 passing yards per game. The Purdue offense currently throws 63% of the time, keeping Bell’s floor high for Week 7.