09 Jul Jamison Crowder: PPR Monster in 2020?
The New York Jets do not have much going for them. After a season of high expectations last year the team crawled its way to a 7-9 record. While the team as a whole under-performed there were a few bright spots for future Fantasy Football potential. Perhaps the most overlooked is slot WR Jamison Crowder. Crowder has always been a reliable target in the slot. QB Sam Darnold utilized him as a security blanket and he saw marked improvements over his rookie year. Expect that trend to continue into this upcoming season.
Fantasy Football is all about opportunity, and Jamison Crowder has shown he will be given plenty of them in Adam Gase’s offense. In 2019, Crowder had a 24.8% target share, good for 11th in the NFL. This puts Crowder in some elite territory among NFL WRs. It may seem like a fluke but remember that former Dolphins WR Jarvis Landry had a 37% target share in 2017 as a slot WR. In 2018, Danny Amendola led the Dolphins in targets, catches, and yards as the slot WR in Adam Gase’s offense.
The point? Adam Gase and slot Receivers are a match made in heaven.
Crowder performed well in his first year with the Jets. His 58 receptions out of the slot were good for 4th in the NFL last year. The Jets relied on Crowder heavily and where it mattered most. He led the Jets in red zone targets last year as well as accounting for over 30% of the team’s targets in the red zone last year (20th in NFL in 2019). These numbers can convert into huge potential gains for fantasy football, which is huge if you’re looking for depth pieces or steals late in your league’s draft.
The Jets were a pretty bad team last year but they did manage to get out to an early lead in a majority of games they played last year. During these moments (tied games or when the Jets were leading 1-7 Pts), Crowder accumulated 52% of his touches on the season. On a team where Crowder was the only consistent target, he still managed five or more targets while scoring 15+ FFP (PPR) seven times. He also managed to finish 25th in the NFL for WRs in separation average while working with less of a cushion (six yard average) than half of those ahead of him.
With Robby Anderson heading to the Panthers and a shortened training camp this year, Crowder instantly becomes Sam Darnold’s safety valve;. The additions of Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims can help Crowder’s production as well as it will now give defenses other players that they will have to cover. Crowder was the only consistent receiving threat on the Jets last year so having other players who can spread the defense and demand attention will do wonders for the slot WR.
As of right now Jamison Crowder’s ADP is 13.05, and consistently being overlooked by the average drafter with expert consensus rankings consistently having Crowder 25 selections higher on average. Being on a bad team limits the exposure Crowder deserves but he has amazing potential to be a PPR monster in 2020.
If the Jets can complimentary pieces can be at least average (something the entire offensive unit wasn’t able to accomplish), this potential can be reached and then some.
Projection: 140 targets, 105 catches, 1,100 yards, 7 TDs