Betting Blind 2021: Week 6 Plays

18 Sep 2021 Betting Blind: Week 2 Plays

Posted at 06:02h in Articles, Betting by
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2021 Betting Blind: Week 2 Plays

Each week of the 2021 NFL season Dominick Petrillo (@EnvisionFF), will provide his best plays of the week. These may be a line, a spread, or a variety of other plays. The only guarantee is they will not be a parlay. Please stay tuned for the Betting Blind picks each Friday of the NFL season.

All lines current as of the writing of the article. Make sure to check your sportsbook for any movement.

All Lines from FanDuel Sportsbook

 

 

On the season: (1-0)

 

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Pittsburgh -5.5

The Las Vegas Raiders were a part of my only win last week. So, we will go back to the well once again. This time, with a play on the line instead of the total.

While Las Vegas entered Monday night and gave their all to beat a good Baltimore Ravens team, the Pittsburgh Steelers were resting after winning their own game unexpectedly the day before. Now, the Raiders will travel east for an early matchup against Pittsburgh and a great defense. A defense which is making their 2021 home debut in front of fans for the first time in more than a year. The atmosphere will be rocking in Heinz Field and so will the Steelers offense.

Ben Roethlisberger is nearing the end. With three receivers the caliber of Juju Smith-Shuster, Chase Claypool, and Diontae Johnson, it does not matter. The Raiders do not have the cornerbacks or safeties to keep up with the Steelers wide outs. On top of this, rookie Najee Harris played on 100% of the Steelers offensive snaps in Week 1. His day was not great, but he is the bell cow back. If the offensive line can get right against a subpar Las Vegas front seven, he could breakout in this matchup.

Derek Carr had a day Monday. He brought the Raiders back from the brink of defeat and led them to an overtime victory. The game this time will not be as close. There will be no overtime needed for the Steelers and they will win this game by a touchdown or more. Take the Steelers -5.5.

 

On the season: (0-1)

 

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles: Philadelphia +3.5

The San Francisco 49ers showed last week that sometimes, a two-quarterback system can work. But the Philadelphia Eagles are not the Detroit Lions.

While Trey Lance looked good in his first action and Jimmy Garoppolo led the team down to the win, they did so against a bad Lions team which only got worse during the game when 2nd-year cornerback Jeffrey Okuda suffered a season-ending Achilles injury.

The 49ers also suffered losses when running back Raheem Mostert and cornerback Jason Verrett left the game. The duo of stars will also be gone for the season and the team will need to turn to rookie RB Elijah Mitchell to fill the void in the backfield.

The Eagles, although getting older, still have one of the top front fours on defense in the NFL. They made life miserable for Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons allowing only six points in their first game. While the 49ers will use more of the run game to move the ball, this will allow Darius Slay and company to lock down the receivers and could lead to a low scoring, ugly game in Philadelphia. If the Eagles want to win games this season, this will be the way to do it. So, the muddier, the better here.

Jalen Hurts had 3 TD passes against the Falcons. He was able to find rookie DeVonta Smith as well as tight end Dallas Goedert for scores. If he can do so again this week, those points may be enough to win the game. If Miles Sanders can get going, they might even get another score. Take the Eagles +3.5.

 

On the season: (0-1)

 

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins: Miami +3.5

Division games are always tough to handicap. Everyone loves the Buffalo Bills this season. On the other hand, everyone is still enamored by the Miami Dolphins defense and how good it is. I am going simpler with my reasoning here. The heat.

There is something about the heat in Miami for teams early in the NFL season. It effects all teams which go to south Florida and a team like the Bills, who like to run a lot of plays, will be drained by the end of the game. Not to mention, the Miami Beach hangover which many teams face after a late night out on Saturday night in the city.

Josh Allen is becoming a star. Stefon Diggs is already a star. This is great for the Bills against a team in the Dolphins who do not have any star. What they do have is a team. A solid defense and an offense with weapons to go with a young quarterback in Tua.

The Buffalo Bills are going to win game this season. They may even win the division like many predicted. But this week, in this scenario, I must make the smart play and take the Dolphins at more than a field goal underdog at home. Take Miami +3.5.