14 Nov Betting Blind 2021: Week 10 Plays
Betting Blind 2021: Week 10 Plays
Each week of the 2021 NFL season Dominick Petrillo (@EnvisionFF), will provide his best plays of the week. These may be a line, a spread, or a variety of other plays. The only guarantee is they will not be a parlay. Please Stay tuned for the Betting Blind picks each Friday of the NFL season.
All lines current as of the writing of the article. Make sure to check your sportsbook for any movement.
All Lines from Fan Dual Sportsbook
What a wacky week it was. Denver and Jacksonville both got huge victories in games they were expected to be blown out. We also had some unexpected losses and went 1-2. Let us get back in the money and get back some of the lost funds in time for your Thanksgiving shopping. Hey, turkeys are expensive.
Season record: (5-4)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Football Team: Washington +9.5
There is not a whole lot to say about this matchup. Yet, it is still my favorite play of the week.
Tampa Bay looks far different on the road this year. While they are dominating teams at home, the Buccaneers have yet to cover the point spread on the road. This bodes well for a Washington football team which is coming off their own bye week and has gotten a bit healthier in the down time.
Antonio Brown is out this week. While Rob Gronkowski is back, the Washington defense is starting to play a bit better, and we must hope they continue this trend.
Tom Brady is far better than Taylor Heinicke. This is a certainty. But with Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic in the back field and Terry McLaurin out wide, Washington will be able to feast on a weak Buccaneers secondary.
I am not going as far as to say Washington will win the game out right. What I am saying is that Tampa Bay is not the same on the road and teams coming off a bye week are 3-9 against the spread this season. Both teams are coming off a bye, so we will see what happens in this one. The line is just too high for me to trust the Buccaneers. It may make me look the fool, but it will not be the first time. Give me the Football Team +9.5
Season record: (4-5)
New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans: New Orleans +2.5
I liked this a lot better when Alvin Kamara was fully healthy. But I still like it. Why? Well, for starters, even with Kamara’s issues coming up, the line did not move. The public is all over the Titans after a month of reeling off victory after victory. But the professionals love the Saints here. It is also important to look at trends. They do not always hold, but they are trends for a reason. They happen more times than not. In this matchup, there is one key trend. In their past nine road games as an underdog, the Saints are 9-0 against the spread. Those are solid numbers.
With Derrick Henry out, the best unit in this game is going to be the New Orleans Saints defense. Julio Jones has failed to live up to any off-season hype. Ryan Tannehill is a good quarterback, but he cannot do it all alone. If A.J. Brown can be limited, the Titans offense will go no where against one of the best run defenses in the NFL.
On the other side of the ball, the Saints and Trevor Siemian had a terrible start to the game last week. I expected them to start slow and they did. But they managed 24 points in the second half of the game. Not to mention Siemian finished with 248 yards and two touchdown passes. Not too shabby.
Kamara has been ruled out for Week 10, and with Mark Ingram II back, I trust the Saints to still be able to run on the Tennessee defense. The offensive line in New Orleans is still good and Sean Peyton knows what he can do with Ingram and the rest of the offense. The game plan may not be pretty or something Saints fans are used to seeing, but it will get the job done.
I love the New Orleans Saints to win this game outright. But if you are going to give me points, I will gladly take them for the safety. Give me the Saints +2.5
Season record: (5-4)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis -10.5
Jacksonville won their game last week as a 14-point underdog against the Buffalo Bills. But let us be far. The Bills lost the game last week against the Jaguars. Had Josh Allen not reverted to his rookie form, Buffalo would not have been in a situation where they only have scored six points against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. A win is a win but this one seems a bit tainted and does not represent what to expect from Jacksonville moving forward.
Indianapolis has their own issues in 2021. They started off slow and have had a brutal schedule while trying to figure things out. In those rare games when they play a bad team, they pound them. Hence, the double-digit victories over Houston and the New York Jets. Not to mention a convincing victory in a rainstorm against the San Francisco 49ers.
Not only is Jonathan Taylor playing like the best running back in the league right now, Carson Wentz is a top five fantasy quarterback over the past month. His connection with Michael Pittman has been much needed as T.Y. Hilton is just now returning to the lineup.
With Quenton Nelson returning healthy and the defense starting to find themselves, this should be another game where the Colts impose their will against a lesser opponent. If the Colts can keep Trevor Lawrence in check, this will be an easy victory. Indianapolis has given up the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL but the weapons in Jacksonville do not scare me enough to think they can exploit this deficiency. Therefore, I still like the Colts here. Give me the Colts -10.5
Dominick is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Playing fantasy football for more than 20 years and writing for more than five, he has a vast knowledge of both the NFL and fantasy football. Despite his being blind, Dominick is a consistent ranker amongst FantasyPros experts, and always strives to be better than last season. Follow him on Twitter @EnvisionFF and read his weekly Best Bets articles during the season.