Saturday Six Pick – CFB Week 3

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Saturday Six Pick – CFB Week 3

New Mexico at #7 Texas A&M
Sat 9/18, 12:00pm SECN
Texas A&M -30

The Aggies lost their starting QB Haynes King, and redshirt sophomore Zach Calzada looked shell shocked in replacing him. King is now out indefinitely after surgery for a broken leg, which reads more like he is done for the season. This is Calzada’s job now with no one looking over his shoulder. He is capable, but he has to show it. The offense should go through stud RBs Isaiah Spiller and Devon Achane, and the defense is a top unit, but this week will present a ton of questions for this talented team with championship aspirations. The 30 point spread feels like entirely too much. I’m bullish on the Lobos covering the huge gift.

Pick: New Mexico +30


#8 Cincinnati at Indiana
Sat 9/18, 12pm ESPN
Cincinnati -3.5

I was extremely excited for the return of Michael Penix this year. Tom Allen has been one of the better coaches in all of college football, and this was supposed to be a return to what they were starting. Then they ran into Iowa, who we’ve now seen is the real deal. I’m hoping this is the week people finally truly tip their hat to Cincy. If not, it will have to come next week when they take on the Fighting Irish on a National Stage. This Cincinnati team has balls. They scheduled themselves as such to prove it. It was just a short time ago Indiana was flirting with stepping into the category of the elites. They sputtered, and are still in a secondary tier. The Bearcats are one of colleges current elites. This -3.5 line is disrespectful, and I think they will treat it as such, looking for a knockout blow early on in the contest.


Pick: Cincinnati -3.5


#1 Alabama at #11 Florida
Sat 9/18, 3:30pm CBS
Alabama -14.5

There currently isn’t a line that would scare me that is attached to Alabama. The only caveat that might come close would be Bryce Young making his first start on the road. If going past a two touchdown margin intimidates you, I can understand it. I just think anything within 17 isn’t out of the question. Roll Tide.


Pick: Alabama -14.5


#22 Auburn at #10 Penn State
Sat 9/18, 7:30pm ABC
Penn State -5

This Auburn team is not supposed to be here like this. Not after the tumultuous off-season in which the hiring of Bryan Harsin was heavily scrutinized. Bo Nix remained, but his development certainly wasn’t generating as much excitement as he once did, when the 5 star recruit first committed. This was supposed to be a transition year. In some aspects, this was supposed to be a transition year for Penn State as well. But here we are, and this will either be a much better than anticipated matchup, or the field righting itself. It’s a low 6 point number for the home Nittany Lions which I think they will be able to squeeze out, despite some late game heroics from Nix.

Pick: Penn State -5


Tulane at #17 Ole Miss
Sat 9/18, 8pm ESPN2
Ole Miss -14

Matt Corral is the real deal, and any offense led by Lane Kiffin is going to demand respect. The Rebels have been making things look easy, and have a Week 4 matchup at Alabama that is going to be on a lot of minds. This is the definition of a trap game, and Tulane is much better than advertised… just ask Oklahoma. I’m tempted to straight up chase the outright upset, but 14 for the Green Wave is too good to ignore in this situation.

Pick: Tulane +14


#19 Arizona State at #23 BYU
Sat 9/18, 10:15pm ESPN
Arizona State -3.5

If you expected BYU to have a down year after losing 5 players to the NFL Draft, led by Zach Wilson, you’d be mistaken. I was, and was stunned to see the energy they displayed in upsetting Utah in Week 2. They start this season with three straight Pac-12 opponents at home, and now get to go for the trifecta with #19 Arizona State coming to town. They are 3.5 point underdogs to boot. I like their chances.

Pick: BYU +3.5