23 Sep Saturday Six Pick – CFB Week 4
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Last Week’s Record: 3-3; Season To Date: 7-4
Saturday Six Pick – CFB Week 4
#12 Notre Dame at #18 Wisconsin
Sat 9/25, 12:00pm FOX
Wisconsin -6.5 (46.5)
This Irish team is very good, but not elite. They have pieces that can get them through some tough matchups, and will be a borderline playoff team, but not one I see holding up the hardware. This week they travel to Madison for a matchup with the Badgers. This is one of those games I speak of… good enough to get by a decent Wisconsin team. It’s also a revenge game for Jack Coan going back to play against his former team. The line of -6.5 for Wisconsin is entirely backwards, making Notre Dame a straight up Money Line upset – currently in the +200 range.
Pick: Notre Dame ML +195
Texas Tech at Texas
Sat 9/25, 12:00pm ABC
Texas -7.5 (61.5)
I’m really liking this game as free money this week. The Red Raiders of Texas Tech have gotten off to a nice 3-0 start, but those have all been at home, and against opponents nowhere near the talent level as Texas. The Longhorns had high expectations entering the season, and new Head Coach Steve Sarkisian’s squad was embarrassed in what was perceived to be an “upset” at the hands of Arkansas. Arkansas is a very good squad, certainly better than Texas Tech, and having to travel for the first time this year is going to be too daunting of a task. This is a low line because of the record, but Texas should be able to show why they will be moving to the SEC soon. I’m gravy with the Longhorns hanging a touchdown.
Pick: Texas -7.5
Boise State at Utah State
Sat 9/25, 12:00pm CBS
Boise State -9 (70)
Boise has made themselves a mid-major blue blood. We tend to hear the name and just assume they are good. They still are, but Utah State is better than anyone knows. The Aggies are a perfect 3-0 and feature senior Wide Receiver Deven Thompkins, who I went over last week and earlier in this episode. Thompkins leads the nation in receiving yards with 454, and is tied for 4th in receptions with 25. Utah State is averaging 41 points per game and can certainly move the ball. I like the Aggies with the +9.5 this week, but I love the Over of 63.5 even more. UPDATE: The line has moved nearly a full 7 points to 70. I’m back on Utah State.
Pick: Utah State +9
#7 Texas A&M at #16 Arkansas
Sat 9/25, 3:30pm CBS
Texas A&M -5.5 (47)
I believe in this Arkansas team, and called their “upset” of Texas in Week 2. But, I have been talking up Texas A&M since the beginning of the year, and after seeing how new QB Zach Calzada handled things this past week, I think the Aggies are beaming with confidence. This should be a fun and exciting back and forth contest, but even on the road, I’m going to stick with my proclamations of TAMU being the real deal. Within a touchdown is very doable and I believe gets done.
Pick: Texas A&M -5.5
UTSA at Memphis
Sat 9/25, 3:30pm ESPNU
Memphis -3 (67)
Neither of these teams are ranked, and it might be the best matchup of the week. I’m on record as having adopted the Roadrunners of UTSA as my team in 2021, and so far they are living up to the bill. The trio of RB Sincere McCormick, WR Zekari Franklin, and Safety Rachad Wisdom, are just a few of the unheralded studs on the roster. Meanwhile, Memphis just continues to recruit well and churn out production from their system. The latest duo of freshmen QB Seth Henigan and RB Brandon Thomas are off to blazing starts, while senior WR Calvin Austin looks to turn in his second straight 1,000 yard campaign. This should be a fast paced game with a lot of scoring, but the defense of UTSA should prevail. I’m a little hesitant to think the over, but I’m going to stick with my team and take UTSA on the Money Line at +135.
Pick: UT-San Antonio ML +135
West Virginia at #4 Oklahoma
Sat 9/25, 7:30pm ABC
Oklahoma -17 (56.5)
This is it, I’m calling my shot right here… West Virginia in the straight up upset on the road in Norman. I don’t know the current Money Line odds, but with a 16.5 point Sooners line, I would assume it is quite a large payoff. Oklahoma has already been on the ropes twice in three games, and the Mountaineers are the toughest opponent they have faced so far. It will be too much of a shock to their system, and perhaps the wake up call they need. UPDATE: Line has moved slightly, and Money Line is huge as expected.
Pick: West Virginia ML +575
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A jack of all trades in the Fantasy Sports industry, covering football, baseball, and the NFL Draft. Has written, edited, podcasted, and produced over 1,000 videos for his various series, in addition to dozens of guest appearances and collaborative pieces. A top ranker on Fantasy Pros for both Football & Baseball, avid fan of mining for MLB prospects, and former D1 College hoops player, Andy is a native New Yorker, who has served as a firefighter in the FDNY for the past 20 years and counting.