Betting Blind Week 15

18 Dec Betting Blind: Week 15 Plays

Posted at 09:00h in Betting by
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Each week of the 2020 NFL season Dominick Petrillo (@EnvisionFF) will provide his best plays of the week. These may be a line, a spread, or a variety of other plays. The only guarantee is they will not be a parlay. Please stay tuned for the Betting Blind picks each and every Friday of the NFL season. Lines current as of the writing of the article. Make sure to check your sportsbook for any movement.

All Lines from Draft Kings Sportsbook

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I do not where you live in the country (assuming the USA) but where I am we just got hit with massive snow and ice. The only thing which will warm me up is to make some money again. After going 1-2 last week thanks to Dan Bailey not remembering how to kick, we look to get back on track. Hopefully it leads to a wonderful holiday for all as well come down to the end of the season wealthier than we started.

 

*** Three Star Play *** (9-5)

Cleveland Browns at New York Giants: Browns -6

What a great game it was on Monday night. Unfortunately for the Browns they lost.

This means they now are desperate to win and maintain their playoff position. Good thing they get to take on the New York Giants and a hobbled Daniel Jones. The same Daniel jones who was just sacked by Hassan Reddick five times last week.

Him hamstring is clearly impeding his ability to run. This limits a lot of what he is as a quarterback. Joe Judge has already come out and stated Jones may not play this week. If this is the case, I like the pick even more. I know, I know, Colt McCoy led the Giants into Seattle and beat the Seahawks, but do not expect lightning to strike twice in that regard.

As for the offensive play calling, the Giants have not been good in this area majority of the season. Jason Garrett has now tested positive for COVID, leaving the play calling in the hands of Freddie Kitchens. Revenge? Not likely.

The Browns will bring a pass rush headed by Myles Garrett which is much better than the Arizona Cardinals from Week 14. Garrett will get to Jones or McCoy often and the secondary, although bad, will be good enough in this game.

On offense, it is no secret what Cleveland wants to do – run, run, run. Baker Mayfield has had a few good games in the past few weeks. This includes four touchdown passes against the Titans, but this is a run-first team. Nick Chubb had two more touchdown rushes Monday night and Kareem Hunt was the fantasy RB4 in Week 14 with rushing and receiving scores.

Expect much of the same behind possibly the best offensive line in the NFL this season.

Jarvis Landry has stepped up a bit in the absence of Odell Beckham Jr. The real star lately has been rookie Donovan Peoples-Jones. A bust in college, he has been anything but in the pros. He may get shut down this week as the All-Pro James Bradberry, who will likely be on him a lot.

But this will open up the field for both Landry and Austin Hooper. Those players along with the run game will keep the Browns playoff hopes rolling this week on Sunday night. Am I scared to trust the Browns? Of course. But sometimes to win you have to trust the ugly teams. I know this is a public play, but sometimes the public is right.

Take the Browns -6

 

** Two Star Play ** (6-7-1)

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Over 51 Total Points

I am going to talk a lot about the Colts in the next wager so for this one I will focus on the other side. The Texans are bad. There is no way around it. But they do have Deshaun Watson and this makes them dangerous on the scoreboard.

Coming off their worst game of the season against Chicago, Houston and Watson will get back on track here. Not only will they have David Johnson back, but they should also be getting Brandin Cooks back. Add him to the sudden appearance of Chad Hansen and they will be able to move the ball in the air. This will be helpful as they will be trailing early.

The Texans defense as we have said is bad. They rank 31st against the run and without Bradley Roby, the secondary is not much better. This means points will be aplenty for the Colts.

It was just two weeks ago when these teams combined for 52 points. The Colts have gotten better since then and the Texans? Well, they are still the Texans. This game will be a shootout so roll with it.

Take Over 51 Points

* One Star Play * (10-4)

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Colts Team Totals Over 28.5 Points

Betting Blind loves this game and I love the Colts this week. This is why I am going back to the well for the first time this season and taking two picks from one game. I am that confident.

T.Y. Hilton has four touchdowns in the last two games. One of those games was against the Las Vegas Raiders last week. The other? Against the Texans two weeks ago. He loves playing the Texans. He has 18 touchdown receptions against them in his career. He also has over 90 receptions and 1600 yards in those 17 games as well.

Jonathan Taylor finally showed why the Colts took him in April when he ran for 150 yards and 2 scores last week. The Texans defense is ranked 31st against the run this season as I mentioned earlier. I am not going to call for the same output this week, but 100 yards is certainly on the table here.

Add to this mix Michael Pittman Jr. and the Colts are loaded on offense. Their offensive line is quite impressive, meaning Philip Rivers should have all day to throw the ball. A 300-yard three touchdown day is in store for Rivers and this means the points will pile up for Indy.

Since Week 7, the Colts have failed to score 21 points one time. In that time, they have scored more than 40 twice, including last week when they laid 44 on Las Vegas. The Colts need to win to remain tied with the Titans in the AFC South. Tennessee gets whatever is left of the Detroit Lions. Indy will win big in this one.

Take the Colts Over 28.5 Team Points
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