13 Nov Betting Blind: Week 10
Each week of the 2020 NFL season Dominick Petrillo (@EnvisionFF), will provide his best plays of the week. These may be a line, a spread, or a variety of other plays. The only guarantee is they will not be a parlay. Please Stay tuned for the Betting Blind picks each and every Friday of the NFL season. Lines current as of the writing of the article. Make sure to check your sportsbook for any movement.
All Lines from DraftKings Sportsbook
Another tough week on Betting Blind. They happen. All we can do is get back on the horse and pick some winners. So, let us go.
*** Three Star Play *** (6-3)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams – Seahawks Team Total Over 26.5 Points
I am going to take my first team total of the year here.
Russell Wilson has been playing incredible this season. The past few weeks? Not so much. He still has the best receiving duo in the NFL with Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf. Metcalf is starting to enter the conversation for the best receiver in the NFL alongside Davante Adams and DeAndre Hopkins. At this point of their respective careers, Metcalf also has the best QB in Wilson.
Chris Carson has missed the last two games with a foot injury. This, not so coincidentally, has coincided with the struggles of Wilson. Carson should return this week, and this means better days for the team.
Even though Wilson has been struggling, the team is not. They are still 6-2 in the record books and despite a turnover-heavy performance, they Seahawks managed to put up 34 points last week.
The Rams are coming off a bye and are hoping Jalen Ramsey will be healthy enough to cover the talented Seahawks outside receiving corps. This will still leave room for a big game from Tyler Lockett and Chris Carson. Aaron Donald is incredible, but so is Wilson. He will be able to maneuver out of the pocket and continue to run away from the perennial Defensive Player of the Year.
The Seahawks should rebound to win this game. I am not as confident in that as I am that they will score. And I need some wins.
Take the Seahawks Team Total over 26.5
** Two Star Play ** (4-5)
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals – Cardinals -2
Buffalo played their best game of the season in Week 9 against the Seahawks. Josh Allen was amazing. With 416 yards and four total touchdowns only hours after learning of the death of his grandmother, He made her proud for sure. This week will be different though.
Not only is Arizona the number one offense in the NFL, Kyler Murray is the number one quarterback for fantasy this season. He is coming off a game against Miami in which he passed for 285 yards and rushed for another 106. This was in a loss against a Dolphins team with an elite secondary.
Buffalo was thought to be a good defense coming into this season. So far though, they have severely disappointed, something they cannot do against Murray and DeAndre Hopkins, especially on the road.
Whether or not the Cardinals has Kenyan Drake, Chase Edmonds will be able to go ham against the Bills defense. He is a solid runner and is far better in the pass game than Drake. This will leave the Bills scrambling to stop the Cardinals offense all day.
Stefon Diggs is having a solid first season in Buffalo. Even though this is the case, he is still complaining. This week will not be any different as the Bills will try to use the duo of Zack Moss and Devin Singletary to keep Arizona off the field. It will not work, and Josh Allen will eventually have to take over.
Buffalo is on a high right now, but are set for an emotional letdown. It does not help they are going across the country to play this game. This is the perfect setup for another of those games in which the better team lays a proverbial egg.
Take the Cardinals -2
* One Star Play * (7-2)
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns – Browns -3.5
I would feel much better about this play if the line went to -3. Even with the hook, I like the Browns coming off the bye.
Nick Chubb should be back in this game. This will not only make the run game better for the Browns, but It will also make Kareem Hunt better. Against an undermanned Houston Team defense, this should be an easy victory. The only thing keeping this from being a blowout in favor of Cleveland is the man behind center for the Texans.
Deshaun Watson is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. Will Fuller has remained surprisingly healthy this season. Not to mention, Brandin Cooks looks to be a great addition to the receiving group. Both of these players are top 24 receivers the rest of the season, and against a banged up Cleveland secondary they could have a field day in this one.
David Johnson, still in the concussion protocol, is likely to miss this matchup. Duke Johnson will do his best to fill the role, but he is not as good as David. This will put even more pressure on the rest of the offense. Not to mention the aging defense led by J.J. Watt.
The last time Nick Chubb was on the field, the Browns spent all day running the ball against the Dallas Cowboys. Chubb was having a great game before the injury and Hunt, who was dealing with an injury of his own, still had a good finish to the day. Houston may not be as bad on defense as Dallas, but they are not good enough to slow the two-headed monster.
Expect the Browns to dominate in the time of possession. Give me the hook and Cleveland.
Take the Browns -3.5
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints – 49ers +9
A Betting Blind first. I did not put this one in for a few reasons. First off, I do not really want to trust the 49ers on the road. The second reason – I am a Saints fan.
Much like the Bills, the Saints are coming off their best game of the season. This means they are set for a similar letdown. A home game against a 49ers team who is missing almost everyone could be a trap.
While I do not expect the Saints to lose, they may not show up as much as we think they should. So be careful playing them in this one.
This line started at Saints -7 before moving to -10.5. It will likely remain close to -9 and I like it. But if you can get it at -10, this would be even better. Always shop for the best number. Good Luck.
Dominick is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Playing fantasy football for more than 20 years and writing for more than five, he has a vast knowledge of both the NFL and fantasy football. Despite his being blind, Dominick is a consistent ranker amongst FantasyPros experts, and always strives to be better than last season. Follow him on Twitter @EnvisionFF and read his weekly Best Bets articles during the season.